New paper in Lancet highlights the ongoing excess deaths above and beyond what was seen during the pandemic. Where is the global response now?
Numbers of excess deaths estimated in this
period are considerable. The UK Office for National
Statistics (ONS) has calculated that there were 7.2% or
44,255 more deaths registered in the UK in 2022 based
on comparison with the five-year average (excluding
2020).1 This persisted into 2023 with 8.6% or 28,024
more deaths registered in the first six months of the year
than expected. 1 The Continuous Mortality Investigation
(CMI) found a similar excess (28,500 deaths) for the
same period using different methods.3 Several methods
can be used to estimate excess deaths, each with limi-
tations which should be considered in interpretation,
however the overall trends tend to be consistent across
the various methods.
The causes of these excess deaths are likely to be
multiple and could include the direct effects of Covid-19
infection,1 acute pressures on NHS acute services result-
ing in poorer outcomes from episodes of acute illness.