My (rubbish) T2 Diagnosis

Thanks for those insights @saz9961. I have often wondered about the science behind finger prick testing and your description goes a long way to satisfying that.

In terms of random errors I have also tended to think about sampling errors. A tiny drop of blood is taken from a large dynamic system and it is assumed that the value obtained from the drop represents the whole. Do you think that is reasonable and do you think that error is smaller or larger than the system measurement errors you have described.
Its not what I think, but established fact;


34 years ago;

In most hands, the glucose oxidase strip method is accurate and reliable. Since whole blood is used, the results tend to be slightly lower than simultaneous venous samples, but this is balanced by the fact that capillary blood has a higher glucose concentration than venous blood.

The concentration of glucose is highest in the arterial circulation. Laboratory determinations are usually done on venous samples. If the venous circulation is delayed, such as by leaving a tourniquet on for a prolonged period of time, the concentration falls even further. Thus, samples should be obtained after releasing the tourniquet. Studies have shown that blood glucose concentration may fall as much as 25 mg/dl when a tourniquet has been left in place for 6 minutes.

Glucose concentration may be determined in whole blood, plasma, or serum samples. If whole blood is used, the concentration will be lower than if plasma or serum is used. This is due to the greater water content of the cellular fraction. Under usual circumstances, the concentration of glucose in whole blood is about 15% lower than in plasma or serum


It is known that glucose levels in capillary blood in the fingertip after a liquid glucose load are constantly higher when compared with venous blood measurements (1). Recently alternative sites for capillary blood drawing (e.g., forearm) have been proposed (2) that are less painful compared with fingertip. Data have shown that there was no significant difference between the capillary blood drawn from forearm and fingertip in diabetic patients with glucose values in a wide range (3). Nevertheless, some data have shown that glucose results from alternative sites and fingertip were not identical. This difference was more pronounced when there was a rapid increase or decrease of blood glucose values (4).

These findings confirmed the already reported observation that up to 3 h after a liquid glucose load, capillary finger glucose levels are constantly higher (15–26%) than venous glucose levels. On the contrary, forearm glucose levels were closer to venous plasma glucose levels: There was no significant difference between them after 1 h, whereas a significant increase of 16% appeared at 2 and 3 h. These findings are in accordance with the concept of slower glucose kinetics at the forearm than the fingertip due to lesser arteriovenous anastomoses (4). To be sure, this physiological difference needs to be taken into consideration in the detection of hypoglycemia in diabetic patients. However, it is precisely this physiological difference that supports the suggestion that capillary forearm glucose measurements using a portable glucose meter may be useful for the 50-g challenge test for gestational diabetes screening in an outpatient environment.

So there is wide variation. But its irrelevant. The ideal ranges are established based on finger prick testing, not on thigh testing, forearm testing etc. The CE mark on the meter (or UKCA) has specific meaning. Its a conformance marking. The glucose meters are medical devices, so that means conformance to ISO-15485, which is all about defining how a medical device is designed, made, and an adverse event process put in place. But home glucose meters also have an additional standard, to get that CE/UKCA mark; ISO-15197.


95% of results have to be within 0.83mmol/l for measurements below 5.5mmol/l and 15% for measurements above 5.5mmol/l.

So, not surprisingly, less accurate at low concentrations. For all intents and purposes, the readings might as well be +/- 1mmol/l. Round up/down

So @ a recorded 5.0mmol/l, the actual blood glucose might be 4.2-5.8mmol/l. At 7mmol/l, it might be 5.95-8.05mmol/l, but in practice, that inaccuracy will reduce with higher concentrations. 115% of 5.5 is 6.3mmol/mol.

So yesterdays waking concentration (fasting or whatever you want to call it) was 4.5 (5). A few hours after a 400kcal dinner of beef stew and green beans, it was 5.4 (5). Waking up this morning, 5.1 (5). I pigged out this morning. Instead of a sickly shake, and faced with the ridiculousness of a powdered bacon omelette, I decided to make a spanish omelette; a couple of eggs, pepper, onions, bacon, fried up in butter, slipped in some chillies and slivers of half a cooked new potato that was sitting in the fridge. 2 hours later, 5.7 (6). Oops. But then, 2h after a grim bowl of instant veg soup, it was 6.2 (6).

I'm no longer going to sweat it over 0.5mmol/l variations, as its meaningless.
 
95% of results have to be within 0.83mmol/l for measurements below 5.5mmol/l and 15% for measurements above 5.5mmol/l.

So, not surprisingly, less accurate at low concentrations. For all intents and purposes, the readings might as well be +/- 1mmol/l. Round up/down

So @ a recorded 5.0mmol/l, the actual blood glucose might be 4.2-5.8mmol/l. At 7mmol/l, it might be 5.95-8.05mmol/l, but in practice, that inaccuracy will reduce with higher concentrations. 115% of 5.5 is 6.3mmol/mol.
It's tempting to think of meter accuracy this way but it's not how it works in practise. In order to manufacture a cheap test strip that meets the basic standard the manufacturer will effectively choose a blood glucose concentration 'sweet spot' where the test strip will be closest to optimum objective accuracy and the meter will be less accurate both above and below that mark. They may also invest a little more or a little less in the quality and consistency in the manufacturing process to help make outlier readings less likely. The standards and the reality of creating and selling tests strips don't quite match up. Some meters exceed the basic standards considerably and the manufacturers charge a premium for the test strips, while many other meters have failed to meet the basic standard in independent testing.

The readings from a good meter will not be plus or minus 1 mmol/L in practical terms, they'll be plus or they'll be minus at a given concentration at least 95% of the time, not round up or round down - one or the other. The good meters will be within 15% of objective accuracy 100% of the time, within 10% close to 100% of the time, and often much closer to the mark than that almost all the time depending on the blood glucose concentration of the sample. There will be rogue readings, outliers, but they're the exception not the rule. You can't trust a meter to be objectively accurate but many of them are very consistent. Consistently inaccurate, with a bias. Testing before and two hours after meals, with a good meter, the difference between readings will not jump around by plus or minus 1 mmol/L but almost always be either plus or minus and the variation in the gap between average bias and objective accuracy will be more like 0 to 0.3 mmol/L the great majority of the time.

This is what it looks like when you test the same drop of blood with four different meters. I repeated that four times and the graph on the left is the from a CGM. It's temping to look at the standard and imagine great variation from test to test, but that's not how it actually works. The green bar is where I believe objective accuracy lies on the last test, though I'm still trying to figure that out.
Four Meters.png
Edit - I just read your previous posts and I see that you likely know much more about these devices than I do, so I assume I've misunderstood your meaning in the post above where you're rounding both readings of 4.5 and 5.4 to 5? It's not impossible for both of those readings to be so far off the mark of course but it would be two big consecutive outliers in 'opposite directions' with both of those readings being so close to 5. Not likely. Even the cheapest meter, the Navii on the far left in the bottom image is generally a lot better than that.
 
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