Just to throw a proverbial cat amongst the pigeons, I reduced my morning basal by 1U yesterday morning, expecting more of the same (1/2 bolus doses), but my boluses were then back to normal (which meant I was effectively split dosing every meal and snack wondering whether I'd be starting to trend higher after an hour or two - 11 bolus injections in total, ouch) and I then ran high overnight.
It wasn't a particularly abnormal day (I was at work, though I drove rather than riding in as I needed to pick something up, 7k steps & 18 flights of stairs according to Garmin) but the one notable difference between that and the preceding two days was that I didn't have time to get out for a bike ride (I did probably twice as many steps though walking around at work).
The overnight high is probably unrelated and due to protein snacking - over the past couple of days I was able to snack in the evening (which probably points to basal being too high, so related obliquely) but obviously the same wasn't true last night!
I can't believe that the bolus doses going back to normal was the effect of removing a single unit of basal (my basal = 2x9U for 18/24U/hr = 0.75U/hr active insulin. Removing one unit is a difference of 0.0417U/hr. A bolus dose might be 2.5U to 7.5U and have a duration of 5hr giving 0.5U/hr and 1.5U/hr active insulin, respectively.) so I'm going to put my basal back up, keep en eye on the protein snacks and see how the ongoing life experiment reacts 🙂