Coronavirus Information

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I agree a will is worth making I've been meaning to do it for years, since one winter I got pneumonia and didn't think I would make it out the other side, I'm mainly at risk every winter with damaged lungs and the added complication of diabetes is problematic, but when your time is up its up. Having a will already in place just makes things easier for everyone all round.

That's just speaking generally, not because of the covid-19
 
The WHO taskforce which visited China has released its full report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-so...na-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

Really interesting. The main point: it can be contained by effective and proactive action to detect, diagnose and isolate cases.

- Transmission within households and via person-to-person contact, not though the air. Good! An explanation for why social isolation-type measures have been very effective for containment.

- No signs of transmission from children to adults. Good!

- Infection of HCW's appears to derive mainly from the same household setting, not from hospitals. Good!

- Asympotamtic cases appear to be very rare. Asymptomatic people testing positive generally went on to develop symptoms. Good!

- The same 80%+ "mild" symptoms as reported previously. "Severe" at 6% a tad higher than the previously reported 5%.

- Mean incubation period 5-6 days, range 1-14 days.

- Similar risk profile for severe cases as reported previously: older, prior health conditions; children rarely.

- CFR's in ground-zero Wuhan dramatically and quickly declining: started at 20%+, now down to 0.7% with evolving care standards. Kudos to China!

Chart illustrates:

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- Among severe cases, 13% have died - much better than previous reports. One hospital reporting 26% of "severe" case recovered and 46% improved to "mild" or "moderate".

- Task Force says: "China has rolled out perhaps the most ambitious, agile and aggressive containment effort in history".

- "This decline in COVID cases across China is real" [2,478 new cases on the day just before the Task Force started, 409 on its last day.]

- Global community needs to get its act together and follow China's lead: extremely proactive surveillance, very rapid diagnosis and immediate isolation, rigorous tracking and quarantine of close contacts, exceptionally high population level of understanding and compliance.

- And it needs to do this quickly: the thing spreads "with astonishing speed".
 
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Although, I am currently sitting on my yacht that is all stocked up and ready to go,so not overly worried, should things really go pear shaped.

Meanwhile it is great to hear that we have 15 ecmo beds and can intubate 150 at a push should this ever be needed in the uk which is highly unlikely according to government sources.
The NHS has suggested that if demand for care outstrips supply they will use the "three wise men principle " for triage,with smokers,diabetics ,coronary and old people taking a back seat over those without cormorbidities.



@atoll, if you believe we are in some sort of Armageddon scenario, we'll have to agree to disagree on that.

I'm not a fool. I'm not a massive risk taker, but going to sleep every night is a risk I have been accepting for my whole life. Crossing a road is a risk I accept daily, and whilst here in these foreign climes, riding a motorbike is a risk I take virtually every day.

Of all of those risks, I'd say the greatest one involves a Honda motorcycles and some insane local riders and drivers, but I'll mitigate as I can, and crack on.
 
Here is our statement regarding the coronavirus.

 
Although, I am currently sitting on my yacht that is all stocked up and ready to go,so not overly worried, should things really go pear shaped.

Meanwhile it is great to hear that we have 15 ecmo beds and can intubate 150 at a push should this ever be needed in the uk which is highly unlikely according to government sources.
The NHS has suggested that if demand for care outstrips supply they will use the "three wise men principle " for triage,with smokers,diabetics ,coronary and old people taking a back seat over those without cormorbidities.
If you are on a yacht, in UK, at his time of year, setting off for anywhere wouldn't be much fun, with Storm Jorge and his friends at play. In any case, where would you head for?
 
If you are on a yacht, in UK, at his time of year, setting off for anywhere wouldn't be much fun, with Storm Jorge and his friends at play. In any case, where would you head for?
The middle of the bay looks pretty good in the short term,with my Q flag up!
 
The middle of the bay looks pretty good in the short term,with my Q flag up!

In which case, I hope you have plenty chain, and few decent anchors and storm sails.
 
Not much hope for my husband and I then - both 70, one of us diabetic, still smoking with intermittent claudication, the other with COPD, prostate cancer survivor and an ex smoker. We've all got to die - it is an incontrovertible Fact of Life!
 
- No signs of transmission from children to adults. Good!

I do find that hard to believe, I expect it still remains to be seen.
children have already been infected with the virus, can't imagine its a one way exchange.
 
The Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, Matt Hancock has launched an expanded public health awareness campaign on COVID-19 (Coronavirus).

coronavirus.JPG

It urges people to wash their hands more often for 20 seconds. You can find their campaign on their social media channels below.
 
great advice if we are in any way going to try to delay the virus from affecting us all, at the same time.

Those that can should also immediately start reducing social contact as per NHS instructions ie no touching , social distancing ,isolation and avoiding all but essential travel.
human to human transmission is the prime vector, as well as surfaces in public pedestrian high traffic areas.
 
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