Omicron’s Surprising Anatomy Explains Why It Is Wildly Contagious

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The Omicron coronavirus variant is likely the fastest-spreading virus in human history, according to experts. While one person with the measles virus—a standout among infectious microbes—might infect 15 others within 12 days, Omicron jumps from person to person so quickly that a single case can give rise to six cases after four days, 36 cases after eight days and 216 cases after 12 days. By mid-February, Omicron will infect up to 40 percent of the U.S. population, one projection estimates, vastly more than the 8 percent that get sick from flu each season.

When the Alpha variant was spotted in November 2020, scientists knew little about how its few mutations would affect its behavior. Now, with a year’s worth of knowledge and data, researchers have been able to link some of Omicron’s 50 or so mutations to mechanisms that have helped it spread so quickly and effectively. That investigative process normally takes a lot longer, says Sriram Subramaniam, a biochemist at the University of British Columbia. “But we’ve been looking at these variants for a year, so we were prepared,” he adds.

 
Depends where you get the R number for measles from. One study in 2017 estimated that it varies between 2.3 and 207. It still remains the biggest preventable cause of death across the world. And, indeed in the UK. Kills adults as well as kids. And as its vector of spreading is the same as Omicron, in the unvaccinated and previously infected it’s probably still champion of the R numbers.
 
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