Northerner
Admin (Retired)
- Relationship to Diabetes
- Type 1
A forecast by researchers at Duke University predicts 42 percent of American adults will be obese by 2030, even though obesity rates have stayed level in women and risen only slightly in men over the past 10 years. How accurate are obesity forecasts?
They're usually too large, but not by much. In 2003, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted 40 percent of Americans would be obese by 2010. The actual 2010 adult obesity rate was 35.7 percent.
In general, it's too soon to know how accurate obesity forecasts are. Obesity forecasting started to take off only about 10 years ago, so most researchers' predictions have yet to occur. However, different obesity projections sometimes conflict with one another, which means at least some of them are inaccurate.
http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/2012/jun/03/obesity-forcasts-too-large/
They're usually too large, but not by much. In 2003, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicted 40 percent of Americans would be obese by 2010. The actual 2010 adult obesity rate was 35.7 percent.
In general, it's too soon to know how accurate obesity forecasts are. Obesity forecasting started to take off only about 10 years ago, so most researchers' predictions have yet to occur. However, different obesity projections sometimes conflict with one another, which means at least some of them are inaccurate.
http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/2012/jun/03/obesity-forcasts-too-large/