Next Covid strain could kill many more, warn scientists ahead of England restrictions ending

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A future variant of Covid-19 could be much more dangerous and cause far higher numbers of deaths and cases of serious illness than Omicron, leading UK scientists have warned.

As a result, many of them say that caution needs to be taken in lifting the last Covid restrictions in England, as Boris Johnson plans to do next week.

At the same time, demands are growing for Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance, the government’s most senior advisers on Covid, to hold a press conference to reveal what evidence there was to back the decision to end all pandemic restrictions.

The dangers posed by accepting the widespread assumption that Covid-19 variants would continue to get milder in their impact was highlighted by epidemiologist Prof Mark Woolhouse, of Edinburgh University.

“The Omicron variant did not come from the Delta variant. It came from a completely different part of the virus’s family tree. And since we don’t know where in the virus’s family tree a new variant is going to come from, we cannot knoW how pathogenic it might be. It could be less pathogenic but it could, just as easily, be more pathogenic,” he said.


Unfortunately, because the government have been all but saying the pandemic is over and done with, having to reintroduce any restrictions should any new, more dangerous variant emerge will be nigh on impossible :(
 
This early lifting of restrictions is just a smokescreen as there is no scientific evidence apart from within BoJo's delusional brain. If it covers up BoJo's failings and PartyGate - job done. He fooled people over Brexit and those same people will fall for this. ☹️

In decades to come people will look back and wonder why people voted for the court jester!
 
Word "could" is widely used article, in fairness we cant live in fear of what might be, life has to go on & we have to get back to normal at some time.

Of course it's all cover up for partygate, diversion tactic that's all it is, still think masks hand sanitizing should stay in place for now.
 
Word "could" is widely used article, in fairness we cant live in fear of what might be, life has to go on & we have to get back to normal at some time.
Yes, appreciate that, but I think the point is that current government think it's all behind them now, so I doubt very much if they have any contingency planning in place should they suddenly get hit with a new variant - that's partly the reason why it's been such a mess, because they never thought it would really happen in the first place (scrapped pandemic planning in 2016, PPE rotting in warehouses for over a decade, health service at permanent full stretch, with 4.5m on waiting list etc. :( )

I think this is a government who gambles on there not being a fire rather than insuring against it and maintaining good safety measures :(
 
Err, I suspect (!) that the medical evidence may well differ from that which BoJo and gang have decided. In which case, personally I stress, were I Chris or Patrick, I would decline ........
 
Word "could" is widely used article, in fairness we cant live in fear of what might be, life has to go on & we have to get back to normal at some time.
Sure, but the idea that there might be another variant with a bit more immune escape (or otherwise causing problems) this year isn't particularly unlikely, and right now about 1500 people a week are dying (US has the highest daily death rate they've ever had). Over Europe as a whole COVID-19 is the second biggest cause of death (after heart disease, which COVID-19 can also contribute to).

I've no problems with relaxing while numbers fall, but the narrative that this is the end just seems overly hopeful and unnecessary. Maybe it will be, but maybe we'll need to have some measures in the future. And everyone who hasn't had a vaccine should really keep considering doing so: Omicron does seem milder, but vaccination makes it even milder than that.
 
The reason why the Omicron variant is so successful at spreading around is that it is a milder illness. It doesn’t kill healthy or vaccinated folk. That’s ideal for a virus to become endemic, like its own cousin coronaviruses that give us colds.

So what any new variant, if it is to be successful is by the same path. Don’t kill people and you will survive and spread around. This is not a sentient decision, of course, it is helpless genetic tactics for survival. Kill people quickly, and make people fell very ill early, as Lassa Fever does and the virus gets buried or cremated with the body. That’s why there hasn’t been an epidemic of Lassa outside Africa, and a very small area of it, even though it is highly infectious via bodily fluids, including sneezing and coughing. And blood - Lassa is a haemorrhagic disease, you bleed from everywhere, eyes, lungs, kidneys, then you die from multiple organ failure. There is, of course, an effective vaccine
 
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