COVID-19 risk model to help GPs target shielding at most vulnerable patients

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GPs will be better able to identify patients at greatest risk of serious illness from COVID-19, and who may be required to shield in a second wave of the pandemic, using a new risk prediction model.

On Monday the government confirmed that patients would no longer be required to shield from 1 August. However it said the shielding list would be maintained in case there was a second spike in infections and the programme needed to be restarted.

Speaking at Monday's press briefing, deputy CMO for England Dr Jenny Harries said that the new model would enable a 'much more individualised way' for patients and their doctors to be able to understand a person's risk.

'In the future, therefore, those we advise to take action may be a slightly different group to those who shielded through this disease peak,' she said


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